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IPCC 主席在2022 年古爾本基安人文獎頒獎典禮上的講話

2022-10-17 10:13 來源: IPCC

尊敬的女士們、先生們:

作為IPCC主席,讓我代表過去、現(xiàn)在和未來的為政府間氣候變化專門委員會工作的科學家表示,首先我們對成為2022年古爾本基人類獎的獲得者之一感到謙卑和榮幸。

我們特別感謝安吉拉·默克爾博士領導的評審團對全球數(shù)千名科學家的工作給予認可,他們自愿提供專業(yè)知識和時間來研究IPCC報告。

今天,這些報告是聯(lián)合國關于氣候變化最權威的科學聲音,它們?yōu)槭澜鐩Q策者提供了關于氣候變化和如何應對氣候變化的強大科學知識。

非常感謝。

我們還感謝古爾本基安基金會的熱情歡迎和慷慨款待。

對氣候變化科學的這一重要認識是在關鍵時刻到來的,通過我們的報告向世界決策者提供的科學是明確的,氣候變化是人為的,它廣泛而迅速,而且正在加劇。

2007年,IPCC獲得諾貝爾和平獎,IPCC的第四次評估報告指出:

“持續(xù)的溫室氣體排放達到或超過當前的速度將導致進一步變暖,并在21世紀引起全球氣候系統(tǒng)的許多變化,這些變化很可能比20世紀觀察到的變化更大”。

這可能是21世紀最保守的說法之一。15年后,氣候變化的影響達到了極點,世界上沒有一個地方可以幸免,這與19世紀中葉以來全球變暖1.1攝氏度有關。

除非在最近的將來立即、迅速和大規(guī)模減少溫室氣體排放,否則本世紀全球變暖將超過1.5°C和2°C,溫室氣體排放會令我們的星球窒息。

我們不應該弄錯——氣候變化對我們星球的健康、我們的生計、我們的福祉以及與我們共享這個世界的所有其他物種都是迫在眉睫的威脅,它的影響加劇了能源、水、糧食以及人類和生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的健康問題。

今天,我們沒有走上將變暖限制在1.5°C的軌道。

事實上,過去十年的年均溫室氣體排放量是人類歷史上最高的。

氣候變化的影響和風險越來越復雜,越來越難以管理,發(fā)展中國家尤其脆弱。

氣候變化不會發(fā)生在其他地方,也不會發(fā)生在別人身上。今年夏天,歐洲部分地區(qū)創(chuàng)下了有史以來最熱的氣溫,我們已經在美國、法國和澳大利亞看到了野火的嚴酷畫面,巴基斯坦洪水,颶風伊恩對古巴和美國造成的破壞,僅舉幾個最近充斥我們新聞的極端事件,氣候變化使這些事件變得更糟。

毫不猶豫地說,現(xiàn)在是采取氣候行動的時候了,再也沒有時間采取折衷措施或自滿了。

我們不能漠不關心,也不能因挑戰(zhàn)的規(guī)模而氣餒。我們擁有限制全球變暖所需的工具和專業(yè)知識,現(xiàn)在是時候更加緊迫地使用它們了。

今天的拖延和無所作為將增加限制全球變暖的不確定性,并導致未來決策者的時間和選擇更少,延誤將導致更多永久性損害,這將意味著預防和適應氣候變化的成本更高,拖延是一種失敗的建議。

令人鼓舞的是,越來越多的國家正在采取行動,但世界需要大幅提高對氣候變化的反應,機會之窗正在迅速關閉,我們現(xiàn)在未能采取集體行動,只會增加我們未來的挑戰(zhàn)。

我們的報告估計,目前的資金流量比2030年將變暖限制在1.5°C或2°C以下所需的水平低三到六倍,發(fā)展中國家面臨的挑戰(zhàn)最大。

有足夠的全球資本和流動性來解決這個問題,但金融家需要政府和國際社會發(fā)出更明確的信,實現(xiàn)全球低排放和公正過渡有賴于加快國際金融合作。

它還取決于不同利益攸關方之間的合作,以便社會能夠接受氣候解決方案和實現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的政策和措施。

女士們先生們,

我們今天面臨許多危機。對世界和平與安全的不祥威脅、糧食危機、能源危機、生活成本危機等。

請允許我提出一個挑戰(zhàn)性的想法:與我們面臨的氣候挑戰(zhàn)的規(guī)模和復雜性相比,這些危機相形見絀。氣候變化加劇了能源危機、糧食危機以及對和平與安全的挑戰(zhàn),它將繼續(xù)破壞能源、食物、水、健康和生物多樣性。

但我們可以提升我們的雄心壯志,采取果斷的氣候行動,造福我們的星球和人類,氣候變化需要真正的全球合作和團結。

通過這樣做,我們可能會發(fā)現(xiàn)自己受到啟發(fā),更有能力找到應對其他全球挑戰(zhàn)的解決方案。

科學是應對氣候變化的重要工具,對于 IPCC 科學家來說,古本金人類獎是一個重要的認可和鼓勵。

因此,我很高興地宣布,該獎項隨附的慷慨錢包將進一步增加IPCC獎學金計劃的資金,該倡議為來自發(fā)展中國家的博士生提供獎學金,支持年輕研究人員的工作,并加強 IPCC 工作的公平性、包容性和多樣性。您的慷慨捐助將使年輕科學家能夠開展研究,增進他們對氣候變化風險和應對策略的理解。

獲得該獎項是IPCC科學家、成員國政府和IPCC背后工作人員的集體榮譽和鼓,我們以極大的職業(yè)自豪感和謙遜接受它。

畢竟,氣候解決方案需要的不僅僅是科學和技術,它呼吁每個人共同努力解決現(xiàn)在影響到世界每個地區(qū)的問題,并為了我們的星球和我們的人類同胞加入一個共同的目標,它要求所有人成為我們兄弟姐妹的守護者。

謝謝你們。

Distinguished ladies and gentlemen,

On behalf of scientists — past, present and future — working for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and as the Chair of the IPCC, let me start by saying that we are humbled and honoured to be one of the recipients of the 2022 Gulbenkian Prize for Humanity.

We are particularly grateful to the Jury led by Dr. Angela Merkel for recognising the work of the thousands of scientists worldwide who volunteer their expertise and time to work on IPCC reports.

Today, these reports are the most authoritative scientific voice of the United Nations about climate change. They provide the world′s policymakers with robust scientific knowledge about climate change and how to tackle it.

Thank you.

We also thank the Gulbenkian Foundation for your warm welcome and generous hospitality.

This important recognition of climate change science comes at a critical time. The science delivered to the world′s policymakers through our reports is clear and unequivocal. Climate change is man-made, it is widespread and rapid, and it is intensifying.

In 2007, the year the IPCC received the Nobel Peace Prize, the IPCC’s fourth assessment report noted, and I quote:

“Continued greenhouse gas emissions at or above current rates would cause further warming and induce many changes in the global climate system during the 21st century that would very likely be larger than those observed during the 20th century” end quote.

It may be one of the 21st century’s greatest understatements. Fifteen years later the effects of climate change have arrived with a vengeance and no part of the world is being spared. And that’s with global warming of 1.1 degrees Celsius since the middle of the 19th century.

Global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C will be exceeded during this century unless immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions – which suffocate our planet – occur in the nearest future.

We should make no mistake – climate change is an imminent threat to the health of our planet, our livelihoods, our well-being, and all other species sharing this world with us. Its impacts exacerbate the problems in energy, water, food, and health of humans and ecosystems.

Today, we are not on track to limit warming to 1.5°C.

In fact, average annual greenhouse gas emissions in the last decade were the highest in human history.

The impacts and risks of climate change are becoming increasingly complex and more difficult to manage. Developing nations are particularly vulnerable.

Climate change is not happening somewhere else, to someone else. Parts of Europe recorded the hottest temperatures ever this summer. We′ve seen the stark images of wildfires in the US, France and Australia. Floods in Pakistan. The devastation Hurricane Ian inflicted on Cuba and the US, just to name a few recent extreme events filling our news feeds. Climate change made these events worse.

To put it in no uncertain terms – NOW is the time for climate action. There is no more time for half-measures or complacency.

We cannot embrace indifference or be discouraged by the scale of the challenge. We have the tools and know-how required to limit global warming. It is time to put them to use with far greater urgency.

Delays and inaction today will increase the uncertainty of limiting global warming and result in less time and fewer options for future decision-makers. Delay will lead to more permanent damage. It will mean higher costs to prevent and adapt to climate change. Delay is a losing proposition.

It is encouraging that more and more countries are taking action. But the world needs to dramatically ramp up its response to climate change. The window of opportunity is closing rapidly. Our failure to act collectively now will only multiply and increase our challenges in the future.

Our reports assess that current financial flows are three to six times below the levels needed by 2030 to limit warming to below 1.5°C or 2°C. The challenge is greatest for developing countries.

There is enough global capital and liquidity to tackle the problem. But financiers need more explicit signalling from governments and the international community. Achieving global low emissions and just transitions depend upon accelerated international financial cooperation.

It also depends upon collaboration across different stakeholders so that society can embrace policies and measures for climate solutions and for achieving sustainable development.

Ladies and gentlemen,

We face many crises today. Ominous threats to the world′s peace and security. Food crises. Energy crises. Cost of living crises.

Allow me a provocative thought: These crises pale next to the sheer magnitude and complexity of the climate challenge we face. Climate change worsens energy crises, food crises, and challenges to peace and security. It will continue damaging energy, food, water, health and biodiversity.

But we can elevate our ambitions and take decisive climate action for the benefit of our planet and humanity. Climate change warrants genuine planetary cooperation and solidarity.

By doing so, we may find ourselves inspired and better equipped to find solutions to other global challenges.

Science is an essential instrument with which to tackle climate change. For IPCC scientists, the Gulbenkian Prize for Humanity is an important recognition and encouragement.

Therefore, I′m delighted to announce that the generous purse that comes with the Prize will further boost the funding of the IPCC′s Scholarship Programme. This initiative provides scholarships for doctoral students from developing nations, supporting the work of young researchers and strengthening equity, inclusion and diversity in the IPCC’s work. Your generous contribution will allow young scientists to conduct research that advances their understanding of climate change risks and response strategies.

Receiving this prize is a collective distinction and inspiration for IPCC scientists, member governments and staff behind the IPCC. We accept it with great professional pride and humility.

After all, climate solution requires more than science and technology. It calls on everyone to work together to solve a problem that now affects every region of the world and to join in a common purpose for the sake of our planet and our fellow human beings. It asks all of us to be our brother’s and sister’s keepers.

Thank you.
– ENDS –

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